Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.160277 0.180814 0.202425 0.226808 0.253499 0.281775 0.313940
2025-04-06 0.131662 0.159136 0.189610 0.225735 0.267200 0.313113 0.367596
2025-04-13 0.111013 0.142591 0.179260 0.224596 0.278729 0.340871 0.417153
2025-04-20 0.097116 0.131741 0.173616 0.227319 0.293640 0.372114 0.471178
2025-04-27 0.087640 0.124890 0.171604 0.233467 0.312121 0.407619 0.531042
2025-05-04 0.077809 0.116299 0.166278 0.234502 0.323622 0.434420 0.580707
2025-05-11 0.071290 0.111273 0.164841 0.239952 0.340421 0.467910 0.639340
2025-05-18 0.065947 0.107211 0.164131 0.245939 0.357746 0.502256 0.699768
2025-05-25 0.058910 0.099949 0.158302 0.244319 0.364475 0.522674 0.742437
2025-06-01 0.053212 0.094052 0.153815 0.244031 0.372626 0.544838 0.787632
2025-06-08 0.048054 0.088435 0.149215 0.243095 0.379529 0.565205 0.830654
2025-06-15 0.045046 0.085900 0.148922 0.248215 0.394926 0.597336 0.890128
2025-06-22 0.040853 0.081127 0.145005 0.247902 0.402752 0.619625 0.937388
2025-06-29 0.037058 0.076630 0.141147 0.247353 0.410051 0.641230 0.984134
2025-07-06 0.033596 0.072347 0.137274 0.246456 0.416628 0.661821 1.029810
2025-07-13 0.031252 0.069823 0.136058 0.249570 0.429212 0.691233 1.088528
2025-07-20 0.029764 0.068728 0.137117 0.256297 0.447441 0.729214 1.160261
2025-07-27 0.027467 0.065845 0.134886 0.257467 0.456992 0.754578 1.214254
2025-08-03 0.026117 0.064679 0.135541 0.263372 0.474065 0.791416 1.285630
2025-08-10 0.024950 0.063759 0.136542 0.269840 0.492157 0.830128 1.360474
2025-08-17 0.022726 0.060406 0.132879 0.268104 0.496917 0.848696 1.405816
2025-08-24 0.020893 0.057677 0.130156 0.267798 0.503880 0.870660 1.456528
2025-08-31 0.019136 0.054913 0.127155 0.266792 0.509556 0.890654 1.504554